Gian Maria Mallarino

PhD Fellow and Lecturer @ Università Bocconi

The impact of green policies on local economic performance: Evidence from the EU ETS


Journal article


Ireri Hernandez, Gian Maria Mallarino, Marco Percoco

DOI: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/316183

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APA   Click to copy
Hernandez, I., Mallarino, G. M., & Percoco, M. The impact of green policies on local economic performance: Evidence from the EU ETS. https://doi.org/https://hdl.handle.net/10419/316183


Chicago/Turabian   Click to copy
Hernandez, Ireri, Gian Maria Mallarino, and Marco Percoco. “The Impact of Green Policies on Local Economic Performance: Evidence from the EU ETS” (n.d.).


MLA   Click to copy
Hernandez, Ireri, et al. The Impact of Green Policies on Local Economic Performance: Evidence from the EU ETS. doi:https://hdl.handle.net/10419/316183.


BibTeX   Click to copy

@article{ireri-a,
  title = {The impact of green policies on local economic performance: Evidence from the EU ETS},
  doi = {https://hdl.handle.net/10419/316183},
  author = {Hernandez, Ireri and Mallarino, Gian Maria and Percoco, Marco}
}

Abstract
Environmental policies such as the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) raise concerns about their impact on local employment and competitiveness. Yet, existing EU ETS studies focus on firm-level outcomes during the initial phases of the program. We construct a panel dataset of about 900 European provinces across 2008 to 2020 to assess the effects of a significant policy change in Phase 3 of the EU ETS. Specifically, we investigate how the changes in the allocation of free allowances affected local economies in terms of employment, gross value added (GVA) and productivity. By assembling a novel dataset and measuring the net change of paid emissions from Phase 2 to Phase 3 we construct a measure of exposure to the policy change at the NUTS-3 level. Using synthetic difference-in-differences, we find that being more exposed to the EU ETS is associated with a statistically significant contraction of employment and GVA in the more carbon-intensive industries. Our results are complemented with evidence on a sizeable reduction in carbon emissions and mild impact in terms of regional disparities in the European Union.

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